Prediction markets' contracts are just another word for "gambling," says former Trump White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney. Mulvaney is leading a new group that wants state authorities, not a ...

Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi are signaling growing confidence that Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and Democratic state Rep. James Talarico are on track to secure their parties' ...

Prediction markets went mainstream in the U.S. in 2025. Robinhood is one of the leaders, with prediction markets becoming its fastest-growing new product ever. Prediction markets will help DraftKings ...

Are the writers time travelers, or are they related to Nostradamus? The Simpsons never disappoints viewers with its eerie Simpsons predictions that ring true years later. The Simpsons family is made ...

Growth in prediction markets is surging as traders seek more precise ways to price and hedge discrete events, from elections to rate decisions, without relying on blunt proxy trades. Prediction ...

Michael Selig oversees a federal agency created to regulate soybean futures. Now he’s helping Americans around the country bet on everything from the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions to who ...

Several asset managers have filed for exchange-traded funds that offer direct exposure to election-related prediction markets The proposed ETFs are all tied to prediction markets related to U.S.

Before the NCAA men’s basketball tournament bracket is carved in stone, attempts to anticipate what the final product will look like more closely resemble molten lava. That was made abundantly clear ...

From top free agents to coaches going viral to angry mascots, here’s one prediction for every team in the league. Theoretical dead periods in the NFL are often the most fun. Free from the ...

Platforms that let you bet on the outcomes of future events have seen explosive growth recently. Economics correspondent Paul Solman explains how these prediction markets work and why they’re so ...

Individual investors who embraced high-risk, high-reward stock bets in recent years are now flocking to prediction markets. For the cohort that piled into options—which give the right to buy or sell a ...

Last summer one “ricosuave666” won more than $150,000 on Polymarket, a betting platform. Their true identity was not clear, but the source of the winnings was: ricosuave666 had bet, with suspicious ...